Relatively high turnout so far may spoil my prediction
Nov 07, 2006

I've just discovered thanks to Blue Mass Group that the Herald is reporting that we're actually seeing pretty high turnout with 20% of Boston having already voted by noon. This may upset my prediction for Mass Guber '06 and spell trouble for Mihos. On the other hand, it seems to me that the large voter turnout is going to be inspired by wide-spread disappointment with the status quo in American politics. I do think that it will definitely bring up the Mihos and Ross votes as many people are dissatisfied with the Republican leadership but don't know if the Democrats will be any better (Kerry Healey did have a good point that it's a good thing to have different parties in control of the Legislative and Executive branches). But, with Patrick's high charisma, I think Patrick will also reap a lot of benefit from this. I'll stick to my estimates for now, but I wouldn't be too surprised to see Healey drop even lower, and the race between Patrick and Mihos to be much closer than anyone would have expected.
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